Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.117647 0.130893 0.145497 0.162877 0.183110 0.206056 0.234242
2024-10-13 0.095358 0.112314 0.132504 0.158635 0.192031 0.233949 0.291634
2024-10-20 0.082304 0.101336 0.125424 0.158826 0.205063 0.268608 0.365939
2024-10-27 0.071164 0.090603 0.116384 0.154130 0.209896 0.292648 0.432036
2024-11-03 0.065692 0.086278 0.114808 0.158826 0.228200 0.339598 0.547437
2024-11-10 0.061039 0.082312 0.112929 0.162395 0.245041 0.387912 0.682540
2024-11-17 0.055692 0.076635 0.107670 0.159664 0.250721 0.418084 0.794521
2024-11-24 0.050932 0.071282 0.102187 0.155600 0.253066 0.442325 0.903835
2024-12-01 0.045903 0.065034 0.094616 0.146929 0.245377 0.444758 0.963067
2024-12-08 0.043217 0.062159 0.092105 0.146604 0.253265 0.481411 1.127691
2024-12-15 0.041621 0.060839 0.091957 0.150399 0.269884 0.541947 1.395827
2024-12-22 0.038793 0.057297 0.087726 0.146062 0.268842 0.560543 1.544884
2024-12-29 0.037661 0.056521 0.088285 0.151173 0.289793 0.642760 1.990383
2025-01-05 0.035460 0.053796 0.085186 0.148728 0.293404 0.680652 2.303840
2025-01-12 0.033932 0.052101 0.083780 0.149538 0.304945 0.746094 2.820775
2025-01-19 0.031892 0.049376 0.080250 0.145476 0.303755 0.772630 3.178991
2025-01-26 0.031122 0.048818 0.080694 0.149954 0.325376 0.883130 4.218326
2025-02-02 0.030269 0.048042 0.080642 0.153321 0.344919 0.997076 5.562707
2025-02-09 0.028828 0.046100 0.078153 0.150815 0.347483 1.048404 6.541979
2025-02-16 0.027366 0.044034 0.075265 0.147056 0.345722 1.082247 7.471325
2025-02-23 0.025560 0.041241 0.070751 0.139008 0.329797 1.049991 7.604168
2025-03-02 0.024673 0.040113 0.069515 0.138708 0.337594 1.127713 9.411313
2025-03-09 0.024218 0.039765 0.069835 0.142235 0.358299 1.279334 13.198000